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ISM Manufacturing PMI Beats Expectations, Gold Prices Slip
The ISM manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI), which measures economic activity in the national manufacturing sector, rose from 43.1 to 52.6 vs. 49.5 expected in June. A reading over 50 indicates positive growth, and June marks the first expansion in the industry since the COVID-19 pandemic struck in April 2020, ending a 131-month string of consecutive growth.

The Private Sector Added 2.3 Million Jobs in June, May Figures Revised up by 5.7 Million
The latest ADP employment report shows that the private sector gained 2,369,000 jobs in June. May figures saw a huge upward revision to 3.06 million jobs added compared 2,760,000 jobs lost as originally reported the month before. Small businesses saw most of the growth in June, with most of the gains in the services sector accounted for most of the growth in June. The US economy is slowly showing signs of recovery from the economic downfall that began in March.

Home Prices Remained Stable in April, Gold Prices Slip
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index rose 4.7% annually in April, up 0.1% from the month before. The 10-city composite index saw no change at 3.4% annual growth, while the 20-city composite rose 0.1% annually to 4.0%. S&P Dow Jones Indices managing director Craig Lazzara described prices as “remarkably stable,” noting that the price trends in place before the COVID-19 pandemic struck remain relatively undisturbed.

Gold Price Preview: June 29 - July 3
Good morning traders, and welcome to our regular Monday preview of the trading week ahead, focusing on the economic data, news flow, and market narratives that may have the biggest impact on gold prices, as well as key correlated assets like the US Dollar.

Gold Price Recap: June 22 - June 26
Happy Friday, traders. Welcome to our weekly market wrap, focusing on the economic data, news flow, and market narrative that had the biggest impact on gold prices (and may continue to in the future) as well as US stocks, the Dollar, and other key correlated assets.

Tame Consumer Spending Rebound Is Likely Temporary as Incomes Drop, Inflation Remains Flat
US consumer spending saw a major increase in May as portions of the economy began to reopen. Consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of all US economic activity, jumped 8.2% in May after falling a record 12.6% the month before. This was below expectations of 9.0% growth in consumer spending. Meanwhile, incomes fell 4.2%, and are likely to continue falling as millions of Americans start to lose their unemployment benefits over the coming month.

Disappointing Jobless Claims Figures Show Little Progress, Gold Price Holds Steady
1.48 million Americans applied for unemployment benefits in the week ended June 20, almost matching the 1.54 million (upwardly revised) claims seen a week earlier. Claims were forecast at 1.32 million, but progress in the labor market recovery has been slower than expected. While claims figures have ticked downward for 12 consecutive weeks, analysts are concerned at the small gap between the last two weeks. In total, 47 million Americans have applied for jobless benefits in the last 14 weeks.

Durable Goods Orders Recovered 15.8% in May, Gold Price Holds Steady
Durable goods orders in the US rose 15.8% to $194.4 billion in May according to the latest report from the US Census Bureau. The sharp 15.8% increase follows a decline of 17.7% in April, when the manufacturing industry was bearing the brunt of the coronavirus lockdown impact. May figures almost erased the heavy losses seen in April, and the May result came in above expectations of 10.6% gain.

Downturn Softens as PMI Readings Hit 4-Month Highs, Gold Prices Rise
The IHS Markit PMI readings released earlier today showed an easing of the economic downturn, with all readings at the highest point seen since the pandemic began in the US. The composite PMI came in at 46.8 in June vs. 37.0 in May. All PMI readings remained in contraction below 50.0, although all of them showed improvement.

Gold Price Preview: June 22 - June 26
Good morning, traders. Welcome to our weekly preview of this week’s market calendar, with a particular focus on the economic data, news flow, and market narratives that are likely to have the biggest impact on the price of gold, as well as pricing for the US Dollar and other key correlated assets.

Gold Price Recap: June 15 - June 19
Happy Friday, traders. Welcome to our market wrap for the week, where we focus on the economic data, news flow, and market narratives that had the biggest impact on gold prices over the last five trading days and may continue to in future.

Jobless Claims Disappoint With Slow Progress, Gold Pares Losses
Initial jobless claims saw a slight reduction in the week ended June 13, failing to match expectations. 1.51 million Americans applied for unemployment benefits last week vs. 1.57 million the week before (upwardly revised). The figures represent a big miss in forecasts, with economists anticipating only 1.29 million claims last week. The 58,000 drop in claims was the smallest drop since early April when claims began to tick downward.
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